Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 42.22% | 27.12% | 30.66% |
| Both teams to score 49.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% | 55.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% | 26.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.18% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% | 33.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% | 69.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.66% |