Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 48.18% | 26.94% | 24.88% |
| Both teams to score 46.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% | 24.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% | 58.53% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% | 39.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% | 75.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 8.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.18% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.88% |