Copa do Brasil
Dec 14, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
ET
  • Samuel Xavier 10' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 36' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Nonato 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 68' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Gomez 32'
  • yellowcard Carlos Cuesta 75'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 89'

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm
Vasco 2 - 1 Fluminense

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm
Vasco 2 - 1 Fluminense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 68.34%
Draw 19.1%
Vasco da Gama 12.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51%
Under 2.5 44.48%
Over 3.5 33.14%
Under 3.5 66.85%
Over 4.5 16.9%
Under 4.5 83.1%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 88.03%
Under 0.5 11.96%
Over 1.5 62.63%
Under 1.5 37.36%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 54.22%
Under 0.5 45.77%
Over 1.5 18.46%
Under 1.5 81.54%

Score analysis

Fluminense 68.33%
Draw 19.1%
Vasco da Gama 12.56%
Fluminense
2-0 @ 12.34%
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 6.83%
4-0 @ 4.64%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 2.67%
5-0 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 68.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.1%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 4.28%
1-2 @ 3.55%
0-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 12.56%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Jardim 17' yellowcard
  • Rayan 50' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+4' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 22'
Brasileiro
Oct 20, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Juan Pablo Freytes 24' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 29' yellowcard
  • Fabio 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 42' goal
  • Guga 87' goal
  • Guga 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 25'
  • yellowcard Mateus Carvalho 49'
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 54'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Felipe Melo 7' yellowcard
  • Ganso 10' goal
  • Ganso 27' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 53' goal
  • Andre 66' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 27'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 27'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 55'
  • yellowcard Pablo Vegetti 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 68'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 16, 2023 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 15' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 23' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 39' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 50' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 74' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 85' goal
  • Ze Gabriel 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 34'
  • goal Marcelo 46'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 56'