Fluminense
1-0
Vasco Vasco da Gama

Henrique (36' og.)

FT
(aet)

Vasco win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Vasco (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Vasco da Gama

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Vasco (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 12.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
68.34%	19.1%	12.56%

Both teams to score 47.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51%

44.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14%

66.85%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.03%

11.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.63%

37.36%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.22%

45.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.46%

81.54%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 68.33%

Vasco da Gama 12.56%

Draw 19.1%

Fluminense	Draw	Vasco da Gama
2-0 @ 12.34% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.67% 5-0 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.3% Total : 68.33%	1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.1%	0-1 @ 4.28% 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 0.98% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.56%