Attendance: 14,670
Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
 

Motor Lublin
1-1
JagielloniaJagiellonia Bialystok

Czubak (44' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pululu (39')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Next Game: AZ vs. Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
34.43%24.3%41.26%
Both teams to score 59.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.12%
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67%24.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28%58.71%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16%20.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48%53.51%
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 34.43%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.26%
    Draw 24.3%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.43%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 41.26%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2025 4.30pm
gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
3-0
Motor Lublin
Kubicki (27', 69'), Churlinov (59')
Churlinov (45+5'), Polak (67'), Ebosse (86')

Samper (41')
Sep 25, 2024 6pm
gameweek 4
Motor Lublin
0-2
Jagiellonia

Caliskaner (20')
Romanczuk (4'), Normann Hansen (50')
Romanczuk (45+1'), Sacek (66'), Dieguez (86')