Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivo Rodrigues 32' yellowcard
  • Karol Czubak 44' goal
  • Marek Bartos 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Imaz 32'
  • goal Afimico Pululu 39'

Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 11.15am
Arka Gdynia 1 - 0 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 11.15am
Nieciecza 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 34.43%
Draw 24.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.28%
Under 2.5 42.72%
Over 3.5 34.87%
Under 3.5 65.12%
Over 4.5 18.17%
Under 4.5 81.82%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 75.67%
Under 0.5 24.33%
Over 1.5 41.28%
Under 1.5 58.71%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 79.16%
Under 0.5 20.83%
Over 1.5 46.48%
Under 1.5 53.51%

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 34.43%
Draw 24.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.26%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-1 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 41.26%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 27' goal
  • Darko Churlinov 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Darko Churlinov 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 67' yellowcard
  • Jaroslaw Kubicki 69' goal
  • Enzo Ebosse 86' yellowcard
  • redcard Sergi Samper 41'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Kaan Caliskaner 20' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Romanczuk 4'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 45'+1'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 50'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 66'
  • yellowcard Adrian Dieguez 86'