Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 6, 2025 11.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edu Espiau 17' yellowcard
  • Luis Perea 82' goal
  • Kamil Jakubczyk 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Luberecki 44'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Wolski 57'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Scalet 80'

Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 1.45pm
Arka Gdynia 1 - 4 Rakow
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 1, 2025 6.00pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Legia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Arka Gdynia 36.05%
Draw 25.12%
Motor Lublin 38.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.26%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.72%
Under 2.5 46.28%
Over 3.5 31.43%
Under 3.5 68.57%
Over 4.5 15.67%
Under 4.5 84.33%

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 74.93%
Under 0.5 25.07%
Over 1.5 40.24%
Under 1.5 59.76%

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 76.41%
Under 0.5 23.58%
Over 1.5 42.35%
Under 1.5 57.65%

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 36.05%
Draw 25.12%
Motor Lublin 38.82%
Arka Gdynia
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 36.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
Motor Lublin
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.82%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 1
Jul 20, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT