Polish Ekstraklasa
Dec 6, 2025 at 11.15am UK
 

Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia
1-0
Motor Lublin

Perea (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Arka Gdynia and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Last Game: Arka Gdynia 1-0 Motor Lublin
Saturday, December 6 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Arka GdyniaDrawMotor Lublin
36.05%25.12%38.82%
Both teams to score 57.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72%46.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43%68.57%
Arka Gdynia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93%25.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24%59.76%
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41%23.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35%57.65%
Score Analysis
    Arka Gdynia 36.05%
    Motor Lublin 38.82%
    Draw 25.12%
Arka GdyniaDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 8.18%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 0.94%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.05%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.91%
2-2 @ 5.9%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-2 @ 6.17%
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.49%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.82%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2025 4.30pm
gameweek 1
Motor Lublin
1-0
Arka Gdynia