Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.