Jagiellonia Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2
Rayo Vallecano

Imaz (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, December 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Next Game: AZ vs. Jagiellonia
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Rayo Vallecano

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Betis
Monday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Next Game: Rayo Vallecano vs. Drita
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.31%	24.49%	30.2%

Both teams to score 57.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.88%

45.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.53%

67.47%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97%

20.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77%

52.24%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9%

28.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22%

63.78%

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.31%

Rayo Vallecano 30.2%

Draw 24.49%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.93% Total : 45.31%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 7.29% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.2%