Almeria
Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 

1-2

Henrique Gomes de Araújo (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morante (39'), Curro (58' pen.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Almeria and Burgos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Burgos
Sunday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Malaga vs. Almeria
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Burgos
Sunday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Burgos vs. Getafe
Thursday, December 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.93% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawBurgos
55.1%23.93%20.97%
Both teams to score 50.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7%72.29%
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87%49.12%
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44%38.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.7%75.3%
Score Analysis
    Almeria 55.09%
    Burgos 20.97%
    Draw 23.93%
AlmeriaDrawBurgos
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 55.09%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 5.42%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.97%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2025 7.30pm
gameweek 32
Burgos
3-1
Almeria
Exposito Jimenez (9'), Nino (67'), Cordoba (84')
Cordoba (42'), Exposito Jimenez (60'), Curro (70'), Cantero (90+8'), Arroyo (90+1')
Melero (30')
Fernandes (16'), Robertone (32'), Puigmal (56'), Lazaro (90+1')
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Almeria
2-0
Burgos
Suarez Charris (29'), Pozo (89')
Arribas (31'), Nico (51'), Suarez Charris (53')
Arribas (38')

Gonzalez Ballesteros (55'), Cordoba (56')
Apr 30, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 38
Burgos
0-2
Almeria

Grego (55'), Elgezabal (81')
Robertone (17'), Grego (44' og.)
Robertone (53'), Puigmal (87')
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
gameweek 15
Almeria
2-0
Burgos
Carlos Lazo (2'), Puigmal (90+5')
Curro (62'), de la Hoz (74'), Sadiq (80'), Samu (89')

Elgezabal (42'), Zabaco (48'), Grego (51'), Munoz (63'), Antonio Caro (82'), Manuel Garcia (90+3')