Segunda Division
Dec 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
 
Almeria

Malaga
2-1
Almeria

Lorenzo (33'), Ruiz Rubio (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arribas (69' pen.)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawAlmeria
35.56% (-0.714 -0.71)26.81% (0.21 0.21)37.64% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.714 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (-0.888 -0.89)53.6% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (-0.754 -0.75)75.11% (0.75500000000001 0.76)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.86099999999999 -0.86)28.84% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-1.083 -1.08)64.71% (1.085 1.09)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)27.6% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (-0.161 -0.16)63.14% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 35.56%
    Almeria 37.63%
    Draw 26.8%
MalagaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.135 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.275 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.308 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 37.63%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 8pm
gameweek 29
Almeria
2-2
Malaga
Baptistao (11'), Arribas (53')
Gonzalez (80')
Rodriguez Sanchez (55'), A (62' pen.)
Ochoa Moloney (3'), Medina (24'), Monte (33'), Luismi (68')
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Malaga
1-1
Almeria
Martinez (12' og.)
Molina (51'), Luismi (72')
Pastor (90+7' og.)
Pubill (20'), Rubi (21'), Langa (49'), Lopy (51'), Chumi (56'), Suarez Charris (63')
Jul 27, 2024 6.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Malaga
0-1
Almeria

(64')
Centelles (24')
(57'), (87')
Feb 12, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 27
Malaga
0-1
Almeria

Escassi (22'), Peybernes (76'), Gomez (90+4')
Sadiq (53')
Akieme (34'), Robertone (86')
Sep 4, 2021 8pm
gameweek 4
Almeria
2-0
Malaga
Sadiq (51'), Chumi (58')
Martos (22'), Ramazani (27')
Martos (46')

Gomez (3'), Villodres Medina (23'), Munoz (57')