/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Falmlog.png)
-
Dani Lorenzo
33'
-
Izan Merino
36'
-
Diego Murillo
41'
-
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
81'
-
Carlos Ruiz Rubio
81'
-
90'
-
Carlos Francisco Puga Medina
90'
-
Victor Garcia
90'+5'
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90'+5'
-
Alex Munoz
24'
-
Daijiro Chirino
27'
-
Sergio Arribas
69'
-
Nelson Monte
76'
-
Dion Lopy
90'+4'
Malaga vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (9.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result
Malaga
35.56%
▼
(-0.72)
Draw
26.81%
▲
(+0.22)
Almeria
37.64%
▲
(+0.51)
Both Teams to Score:
51.51%
▼
(-0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.39%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 2.5
53.6%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 3.5
24.89%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
75.11%
▲
(+0.76)
Over 4.5
11.29%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 4.5
88.71%
▲
(+0.49)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5
71.15%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 0.5
28.84%
▲
(+0.87)
Over 1.5
35.29%
▼
(-1.09)
Under 1.5
64.71%
▲
(+1.09)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
72.39%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
27.6%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
36.86%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
63.14%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
Malaga
35.56%
Draw
26.8%
Almeria
37.63%
Malaga
1-0
@
9.9%
▲
(+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.56%
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.8%
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.8%
Almeria
0-1
@
10.24%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.63%
1-2 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 37.63%
