Segunda Division
Dec 8, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
 

1-1

Galilea (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gomez (90+5' pen.)
Bakis (90+11')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Real Zaragoza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albacete 1-3 Malaga
Sunday, December 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Malaga vs. Almeria
Sunday, December 21 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Cadiz
Saturday, December 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Next Game: Burgos vs. Zaragoza
Sunday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (8.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawReal Zaragoza
45.25%25.99%28.76%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.79%52.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08%73.92%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18%56.82%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 45.25%
    Real Zaragoza 28.76%
    Draw 25.99%
MalagaDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 2.57%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 28.76%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 24
Malaga
1-2
Zaragoza
Dioni (50')
Rodriguez Sanchez (53'), Luismi (89')
Tasende (54'), Sans Lopez (73')
Lopez (20'), Aketxe (75'), Vital (85')
Nov 17, 2024 8pm
gameweek 15
Zaragoza
0-0
Malaga
Ares (19'), Serrano (63'), Luna (74'), Calero (90+3')
Larrubia (15'), Pellicer Garcia (16'), Luismi (35'), Garcia (45+1'), Rodriguez Sanchez (59')
Medina (35')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
gameweek 28
Malaga
3-0
Zaragoza
Castro (56', 82'), Junior (75')
Nov 19, 2022 8pm
gameweek 16
Zaragoza
1-1
Malaga
Simeone (88')
Abaida (79')
Feb 5, 2022 5.15pm
gameweek 26
Zaragoza
1-1
Malaga
Valderrama (64' pen.)
Petrovic (83')
Antonin (26')
Cufre (62'), Escassi (70')