Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.53% and a win for Guadalajara had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 1-3 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%) , while for a Guadalajara win it was 2-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.