Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.08% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 9.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%) , while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.