Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 70.12% ( | 17.27% ( | 12.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.32% ( | 35.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.25% ( | 57.75% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( | 9.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( | 39.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% ( | 76.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 3-0 @ 8.35% ( 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 4-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 5-0 @ 2.4% ( 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 6-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 70.12% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.27% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 12.62% |