Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.