Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))

Osasuna
0 - 2
Real Sociedad

Arrasate (33'), Garcia (55'), Fernandez (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oyarzabal (57' pen.), Merino (90+7')
Magunacelaya (75'), Le Normand (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Osasuna and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Osasuna
Thursday, January 11 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Sociedad
30.95% ( 0.84)	28.13% ( 0.55)	40.91% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 46.52% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.57% (

-1.69)

59.42% (

1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.2% (

-1.31)

79.8% (

1.31)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.08% (

-0.27)

34.91% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.34% (

-0.28)

71.65% (

0.28)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.47% (

-1.56)

28.52% (

1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.69% (

-2)

64.3% (

Score Analysis

Osasuna 30.94%

Real Sociedad 40.91%

Draw 28.13%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.94%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.91%