La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Iberostar Estadi

Mallorca
3 - 2
Osasuna

Nastasic (12'), Rodriguez (53'), Raillo (62')
Raillo (28'), Maffeo (47'), Costa (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ibanez (7'), Garcia (90+1')
Avila (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Mallorca
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Osasuna
42.42% ( 0.22)	29.65% ( -0.03)	27.93% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 41.29% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.73% (

0.02)

65.27% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.92% (

0.01)

84.08% (

-0.01)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

0.14)

30.55% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

0.16)

66.78% (

-0.16)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46% (

-0.15)

40.54% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.85% (

-0.14)

77.14% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 42.42%

Osasuna 27.92%

Draw 29.64%

Mallorca	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 42.42%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 27.92%