Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
| 32.15% | 30.36% | 37.49% |
| Both teams to score 40.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.16% | 84.84% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% | 37.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% | 74.59% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% | 70.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.7% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.9% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.36% | 0-1 @ 13.87% 0-2 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-3 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.48% |