La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))

Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Garcia (90+5')
Arnaiz (74'), Garcia (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Espino (40'), Ciss (55'), Perez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, December 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Celta Vigo
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
39.06% ( 0.16)	27.69% ( 0.01)	33.26% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 48.45% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

-0.09)

57.31% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

-0.07)

78.14% (

0.07)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

0.05)

28.56% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

0.06)

64.35% (

-0.07)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

-0.17)

32.18% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

-0.19)

68.67% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 39.05%

Rayo Vallecano 33.26%

Draw 27.68%

Osasuna	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26%