Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 36.71% ( | 26.52% ( | 36.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( | 52.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( | 74.08% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( | 63.09% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.76% |