Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
36.71% ( 0.69) | 26.52% ( 0.16) | 36.76% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.6% ( -0.67) | 52.4% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.92% ( -0.58) | 74.08% ( 0.58) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.43% ( 0.09) | 27.57% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% ( 0.11) | 63.09% ( -0.11) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.45% ( -0.81) | 27.54% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( -1.06) | 63.05% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |