Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.