Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de La Albuera
Celta Vigo logo

Turegano
0 - 4
Celta Vigo


Nunez (22'), Arranz (29'), Gonzalez (64'), Alcubilla (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamba (12', 33'), Perez (61', 71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Turegano and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turegano

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Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 91.07%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Turegano had a probability of 2.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.74%) and 0-2 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Turegano win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
TureganoDrawCelta Vigo
2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)6.63% (-0.034 -0.03)91.07% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 36.48% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.5% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.5% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.74% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)44.26% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Turegano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.63% (-0.217 -0.22)62.36% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.19% (-0.104 -0.1)91.81% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)13.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Turegano 2.3%
    Celta Vigo 91.06%
    Draw 6.63%
TureganoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 2.3%
1-1 @ 3.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 6.63%
0-3 @ 13.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-4 @ 11.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 11.62% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-5 @ 8.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 5.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-6 @ 4.75% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-7 @ 2.36% (0.012 0.01)
1-6 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-8 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 91.06%

How you voted: Turegano vs Celta Vigo

Turegano
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Celta Vigo
66.7%
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