Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 69.47% ( | 18.22% | 12.31% |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( | 41.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( | 63.46% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.3% | 10.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.39% ( | 34.61% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.01% ( | 43.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.89% ( | 80.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 2-0 @ 11.75% 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 8.76% ( 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 4-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 4.09% Total : 69.46% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 2-2 @ 3.96% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.22% | 0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.26% Total : 12.31% |