Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 12.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.