La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
2 - 3
Celta Vigo

Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-1 Almeria
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Celta Vigo
34.77% ( 0.4)	26.88% ( 0.2)	38.35% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.01% (

-0.75)

53.98% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57% (

-0.63)

75.42% (

0.63)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-0.12)

29.52% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-0.14)

65.54% (

0.14)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.68)

27.38% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15% (

-0.9)

62.84% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Almeria 34.77%

Celta Vigo 38.34%

Draw 26.88%

Almeria	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.77%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.34%