Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.