Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
| 54.8% ( | 24.39% ( | 20.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( | 52.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( | 74.03% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( | 19.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( | 50.57% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.15% ( | 39.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.49% ( | 76.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.42% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.81% |