Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.