La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Asensio (42'), Militao (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Mallorca
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
64.18% ( -0.01)	19.59% ( 0.02)	16.23% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.38% (

-0.08)

38.62% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.08% (

-0.09)

60.92% (

0.09)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62% (

-0.03)

11.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.89% (

-0.05)

36.11% (

0.06)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

-0.06)

36.91% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

-0.06)

73.7% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 64.18%

Celta Vigo 16.23%

Draw 19.59%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.2% Total : 64.18%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.23%