La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 42' goal
  • Eder Militao 48' goal

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 8.00pm
Cadiz 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 17, 2023 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Iago Aspas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 16.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result

Real Madrid 64.18% (-0.01)
Draw 19.59% (+0.02)
Celta Vigo 16.23% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.91% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.38% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 38.62% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 39.08% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 60.92% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 21.41% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 78.59% (+0.07)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.62% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 11.38% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 63.89% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 36.11% (+0.06)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 63.09% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.91% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.3% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.7% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 64.18%
Draw 19.59%
Celta Vigo 16.23%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 64.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.1% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.59%
Celta Vigo
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 16.23%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Renato Tapia 13' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 23' goal
  • Hugo Mallo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 14'
  • goal Luka Modric 41'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 56'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 65'
  • goal Federico Valverde 66'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 68'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Javi Galan 36' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 40' yellowcard
  • Nolito 52' goal
  • Jeison Murillo 57' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 19'
  • goal Karim Benzema 69'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Karim Benzema 24' goal
  • Nacho 32' yellowcard
  • Karim Benzema 46' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 54' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Camavinga 72' goal
  • Karim Benzema 87' goal
  • goal Santi Mina 4'
  • goal Franco Cervi 31'
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 43'
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 63'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 63'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 20, 2021 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Renato Tapia 25' yellowcard
  • Santi Mina 40' goal
  • Denis Suarez 78' yellowcard
  • Augusto Solari 85' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Benzema 20'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 22'
  • goal Karim Benzema 30'
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 39'
  • yellowcard Nacho 70'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 80'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 2, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Vazquez 6' goal
  • Marco Asensio 38' yellowcard
  • Nacho 50' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 53' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 84' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 10'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 42'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2020 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Santiago Bernabeu
  • Toni Kroos 52' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 65' goal
  • Gareth Bale 72' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 74' yellowcard
  • goal Fyodor Smolov 7'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 57'
  • yellowcard Okay Yokuslu 76'
  • goal Santi Mina 85'

Build-up

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