Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
| 61.68% ( | 21.71% ( | 16.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( | 69.62% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( | 14.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( | 43.16% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.23% ( | 41.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% ( | 78.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.3% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61% |