La Liga
Gameweek
22
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-
Valentin Castellanos
8'
-
Viktor Tsygankov
34'
-
Rodrigo Riquelme
36'
-
Javi Hernandez
43'
-
Ivan Martin
77'
-
Cristhian Stuani
79'
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Largie Ramazani
66'
-
El Bilal Toure
81'
Girona vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result
Girona
54.17%
▲
(+0.43)
Draw
25.19%
▼
(-0.05)
Almeria
20.63%
▼
(-0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
46.22%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.48%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
55.52%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
23.3%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
76.7%
▲
(+0.20)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
79.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
20.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
47.02%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 1.5
52.98%
▼
(-0.13)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
58.14%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
41.86%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 1.5
21.69%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
78.31%
▲
(+0.49)
Score analysis
Girona
54.16%
Draw
25.19%
Almeria
20.63%
Girona
1-0
@
13.59%
▲
(+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.16%
2-0 @ 10.77% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.16%
Draw
1-1
@
11.84%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.19%
0-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.19%
Almeria
0-1
@
7.47%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.63%
1-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.63%
Borja Garcia
90'+1'