La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedri (61')

Reaction

Barcelona attacker Ousmane Dembele on January 8, 2023

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Jan 29, 09:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Girona
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, January 25 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 0-3 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Barcelona
10.61% ( 0.11)	16.87% ( 0.09)	72.51% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53% (

-0.09)

39.46% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.19% (

-0.09)

61.81% (

0.09)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.09% (

0.15)

45.91% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.35% (

0.11)

81.65% (

-0.11)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.48% (

-0.07)

9.52% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.09% (

-0.16)

31.91% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Girona 10.61%

Barcelona 72.5%

Draw 16.87%

Girona	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.61%	1-1 @ 8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 16.87%	0-2 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 72.5%