Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 81.21%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Almeria |
| 81.21% ( | 12.2% ( | 6.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.46% ( | 30.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( | 51.83% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.3% ( | 5.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.99% ( | 22.01% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.29% ( | 48.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.25% ( | 83.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Almeria |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 3-0 @ 10.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 4-0 @ 7.8% ( 4-1 @ 5.61% ( 5-0 @ 4.47% ( 5-1 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 6-0 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 6-1 @ 1.54% ( 5-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 4.24% Total : 81.19% | 1-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0-0 @ 2.77% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.2% | 1-2 @ 2.06% ( 0-1 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.58% |