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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Celta Vigo logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Lazaro (52'), de la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22'), de la Hoz (27'), Melero (84'), Ely (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Getafe
Monday, October 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta will view this match as the ideal chance to return to winning ways, but Almeria have been victorious in two of their last four and will also believe that they can triumph on Saturday afternoon. These two sides have only drawn three times between them in the league this term, but we can see a stalemate occurring here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
46.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.82%27.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.52%
    Draw 25.81%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: Almeria vs Celta Vigo

Almeria
41.0%
Draw
29.5%
Celta Vigo
29.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
Apr 20, 2014 11am
Almeria
2-4
Celta Vigo
Rios (40'), Diaz (88')
Antonio Verza (11'), Mane (42'), Rios (68'), Tebar (72'), Diaz (86')
Nolito (19', 71'), Charles (52'), Orellana (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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