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La Liga

Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Celta Vigo logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Lazaro (52'), de la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Getafe
Monday, October 24 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
46.66% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)25.82%27.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07%73.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.007000000000005 0.01)33.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 46.66%
    Celta Vigo 27.52%
    Draw 25.81%
AlmeriaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: Almeria vs Celta Vigo

Almeria
41.0%
Draw
29.5%
Celta Vigo
29.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
> Match Report
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
> Match Report
Apr 20, 2014 11am
Almeria
2-4
Celta Vigo
Rios (40'), Diaz (88')
Antonio Verza (11'), Mane (42'), Rios (68'), Tebar (72'), Diaz (86')
Nolito (19', 71'), Charles (52'), Orellana (76')
> Match Report