Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
52.6% ( 0) | 25.23% ( -0.01) | 22.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% ( 0.04) | 54.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( 0.04) | 75.54% ( -0.03) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.02) | 20.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( 0.03) | 53.11% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( 0.03) | 39.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( 0.03) | 76.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |