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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Celta Vigo logo

Valladolid
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Masip (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oscar (43')
Oscar (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid need a reaction here after a disappointing defeat last time out, and should be able to use their home advantage to force a few good opportunities to go on and win the game. Celta Vigo, however, are a competitive side, and need points of their own. They should have enough to nick at least a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
52.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.23% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 22.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)75.54% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.58% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)39.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.029 0.03)76.17% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 52.59%
    Celta Vigo 22.17%
    Draw 25.23%
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.59%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.17%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid
32.5%
Draw
33.7%
Celta Vigo
33.7%
83
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Real Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Real Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
Nov 29, 2019 8pm
Jan 27, 2019 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Celta Vigo
Plano (55'), Keko (69')
Toni (60'), Michel (90')
Sisto (16')
Mallo (40'), Hoedt (41'), Boufal (52'), Junca (89')
Hoedt (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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