Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 52.6% ( | 25.23% ( | 22.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( | 54.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( | 75.54% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( | 20.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.89% ( | 53.11% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( | 39.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( | 76.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.17% |