Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
52.6% ( 0) | 25.23% ( -0.01) | 22.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.88% ( 0.04) | 54.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.46% ( 0.04) | 75.54% ( -0.03) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.02) | 20.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% ( 0.03) | 53.11% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% ( 0.03) | 39.48% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% ( 0.03) | 76.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.59% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |