Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 30.51% | 29.54% | 39.94% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% | 83.33% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% | 37.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.38% | 74.62% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% | 67.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 11.9% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-3 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.93% |