Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
41.29% | 27.86% | 30.85% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.51% | 58.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% | 79.08% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% | 63.47% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.5% | 34.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.79% | 71.21% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |