Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 41.29% | 27.86% | 30.85% |
| Both teams to score 47.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% | 58.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% | 79.08% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% | 63.47% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% | 71.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.84% |