La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Pedri (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Betis
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
78.24% ( 0.25)	14.03% ( 0.03)	7.73% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.63% (

-1.32)

35.37% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.6% (

-1.48)

57.4% (

1.47)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.73% (

-0.24)

7.27% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.66% (

-0.63)

26.34% (

0.63)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.73% (

-1.64)

49.27% (

1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.85% (

-1.19)

84.15% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 78.22%

Celta Vigo 7.73%

Draw 14.03%

Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 78.22%	1-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.03%	0-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.73%