Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Barcelona |
| 17.52% | 21.97% | 60.52% |
| Both teams to score 50.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% | 69.25% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% | 40.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% | 77.03% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% | 15.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.39% | 43.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-1 @ 4.73% 2-0 @ 2.5% 3-1 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 0-2 @ 10.9% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 6.23% 0-4 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.82% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.23% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.51% |