| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Barcelona | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
| 21.39% ( | 24.76% ( | 53.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( | 74.7% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( | 39.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( | 76.37% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.31% ( | 19.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( | 51.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-1 @ 1.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0-3 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 53.84% |