| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 60.09% ( | 23.11% ( | 16.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( | 52.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( | 74.33% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( | 17.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.54% ( | 47.46% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( | 44.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.33% ( | 80.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% ( 2-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 3-0 @ 6.99% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 3.87% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.19% ( 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 16.81% |