| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Betis |
| 48.02% | 25.83% | 26.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% | 74.71% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% | 22.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% | 55.51% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% | 35.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.93% | 72.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.89% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.15% |