Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 30.27% | 27.65% | 42.08% |
| Both teams to score 47.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% | 57.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% | 34.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% | 71.35% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% | 27.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% | 62.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.21% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 12.25% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.07% |