Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.