Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Real Sociedad

(RB Leipzig win 5-3 on aggregate)

Nkunku (30'), Forsberg (82' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Le Normand (8'), Oyarzabal (64' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Real Sociedad
46.8%	26.36%	26.84%

Both teams to score 49.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.27%

54.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95%

76.04%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66%

57.34%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 46.79%

Real Sociedad 26.84%

Draw 26.36%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.79%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2% Total : 26.84%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Real Sociedad

RB Leipzig

82.0%

Draw

12.2%

Real Sociedad

5.9%