Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.