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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 70.76% | 17.11% | 12.14% |
| Both teams to score 53.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.81% | 36.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.69% | 58.31% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.91% | 9.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.11% | 30.89% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.93% | 41.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.38% | 77.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.4% 5-0 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 0.99% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.51% Total : 70.75% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.11% | 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-1 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.14% |