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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.74%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 82.74% | 11.05% | 6.21% |
| Both teams to score 51.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.39% | 25.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.27% | 45.74% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.49% | 4.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.51% | 18.49% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.26% | 45.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.48% | 81.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 3-0 @ 10.24% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 8.01% 4-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 7.75% 1-0 @ 6.4% 4-1 @ 6.21% 5-0 @ 4.93% 5-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.13% 6-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 2.43% 6-1 @ 1.99% 5-2 @ 1.51% 7-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.75% Total : 82.73% | 1-1 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.03% 0-0 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.05% | 1-2 @ 1.96% 0-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.21% |