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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 35.54% | 26.33% | 38.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% | 27.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% | 63.53% |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% | 26.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% | 61.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.12% |