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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
24.04%22.59%53.36%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83%41.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44%63.56%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15%66.84%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55%15.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71%44.29%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 24.04%
    RB Leipzig 53.36%
    Draw 22.59%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.19%
1-0 @ 5.6%
2-0 @ 3.31%
3-1 @ 2.44%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.04%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 8.25%
1-3 @ 6.08%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
48.6%
Draw
16.8%
RB Leipzig
34.6%
185