Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.