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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 47.73% | 25.9% | 26.37% |
| Both teams to score 50.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% | 22.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% | 55.79% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% | 35.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.37% |