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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
41% | 26.21% | 32.79% |
Both teams to score 52.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% | 51.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% | 73.37% |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% | 59.42% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% | 29.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% | 65.63% |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.99% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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