Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Aug 15, 2021 at 4.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Hertha Berlin
44.38%	25.74%	29.88%

Both teams to score 53.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32%

50.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42%

72.58%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.23%

22.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.54%

56.46%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86%

31.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53%

67.47%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 44.38%

Hertha Berlin 29.88%

Draw 25.74%

FC Koln	Draw	Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 4.47% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.38%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.93% Total : 29.88%