DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Koln logo

Carl Zeiss
1 - 1
FC Koln

Wolfram (5')
Wolfram (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skhiri (69')
Czichos (92')
FC Koln win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and FC Koln.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawFC Koln
21.83%21.75%56.41%
Both teams to score 58.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82%62.18%
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.19%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01%13.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5%41.5%
Score Analysis
    Carl Zeiss Jena 21.83%
    FC Koln 56.41%
    Draw 21.75%
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 5.75%
1-0 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.83%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-1 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 6.46%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.18%
0-4 @ 2.77%
2-4 @ 1.82%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.41%