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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 8, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Koln logo

Carl Zeiss
1 - 1
FC Koln

Wolfram (5')
Wolfram (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Skhiri (69')
Czichos (92')
FC Koln win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and FC Koln.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawFC Koln
21.83%21.75%56.41%
Both teams to score 58.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82%62.18%
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8%68.19%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01%13.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5%41.5%
Score Analysis
    Carl Zeiss Jena 21.83%
    FC Koln 56.41%
    Draw 21.75%
Carl Zeiss JenaDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 5.75%
1-0 @ 5.1%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.83%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-1 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 6.46%
0-3 @ 5.64%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.18%
0-4 @ 2.77%
2-4 @ 1.82%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 56.41%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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