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Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2021 at 5pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Koln logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 5
FC Koln

Jae-sung (4')
Porath (32')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Hector (3'), Andersson (6', 13'), Czichos (39'), Skhiri (84')
Bornauw (28'), Horn (44'), Horn (65'), Thielmann (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Holstein Kiel and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein KielDrawFC Koln
49.03%24.02%26.95%
Both teams to score 56.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98%45.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63%67.36%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.63%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44%66.55%
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 49.03%
    FC Koln 26.95%
    Draw 24.01%
Holstein KielDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 5.68%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.95%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs FC Koln

Holstein Kiel
51.1%
Draw
15.3%
FC Koln
33.6%
131
Head to Head
May 26, 2021 5.30pm
Finals 1st Leg
FC Koln
0-1
Holstein Kiel

Katterbach (14'), Skhiri (51'), Wolf (53'), Czichos (90')
Lorenz (59')
Bartels (41'), Ignjovski (45'), van den Bergh (46')
Mar 31, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
FC Koln
4-0
Holstein Kiel
Terodde (22'), Hector (25'), Cordoba (46'), Modeste (90')
Mere (13')

Schmidt (7')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 10
Holstein Kiel
1-1
FC Koln
Morschel (88')
Okugawa (87')
Terodde (42' pen.)
Ozcan (72'), Schmitz (76'), Horn (89')
rhs 2.0
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