FC Koln
0 - 1
Holstein Kiel

(FC Koln win 5-2 on aggregate)

Katterbach (14'), Skhiri (51'), Wolf (53'), Czichos (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lorenz (59')
Bartels (41'), Ignjovski (45'), van den Bergh (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between FC Koln and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
31.43%	24.41%	44.16%

Both teams to score 58.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82%

44.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.44%

66.56%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87%

62.13%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86%

20.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59%

52.41%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 31.43%

Holstein Kiel 44.16%

Draw 24.41%

FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.43%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 9.13% 0-1 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.16%