Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
FC Koln

Bailey (5', 76'), Diaby (51')
Tapsoba (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Czichos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
65.57%	19.41%	15.02%

Both teams to score 53.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.71%

40.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.34%

62.66%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5%

11.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.63%

36.37%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.5%

39.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.81%

76.19%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 65.56%

FC Koln 15.02%

Draw 19.41%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.93% Total : 65.56%	1-1 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 4.24% 0-1 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.02%