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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.19% | 22.86% | 47.94% |
Both teams to score 62.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.89% | 38.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.62% | 60.37% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% | 25.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% | 60% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% | 16.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% | 45.75% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 7.06% 1-0 @ 5.64% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |